GTA REAL ESTATE: What’s Really Happening Behind the Headlines? October 2026 Market Secrets, Home Prices & Opportunities You Shouldn’t Miss

The monthly briefing on the markets you call home · October 2026

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RE/MAX VIP TEAM logoMONTHLY BRIEFING · VOL. 02

LOCAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Your market.
Your next move.

Fresh numbers. Clear context. Smart questions to ask, from Toronto to Vaughan, Richmond Hill and Newmarket.

OCTOBER 2026 · MARKET BRIEFING
   

Welcome to your October Market Update. TRREB reports that uncertainty around inflation, borrowing costs and the economy kept many GTA buyers on the sidelines in October, and the Bank of Canada raised its policy rate. Below, we translate the newest data into useful local insight and what to watch next.

01 / MARKET PULSE

GTA at a Glance

October 2026 · Toronto Regional Real Estate Board · all home types

5,603

Homes sold

-7.9% year over year

 

$1.024M

Average selling price

-2.7% year over year

 

-4.3%

MLS® HPI benchmark change

MLS® HPI Composite benchmark, year over year

 

25,098

Active listings

GTA / TRREB areas

 
 The story behind the statistics: Sales and prices remain below last year's levels, but on a seasonally adjusted basis TRREB reports that sales and prices edged up from September. Local comparables still matter most.
A closer look at the places we call home.

02 / YOUR NEIGHBOURHOODS

Four markets. Four stories.

October 2026 · all home types combined · average selling price is not an estimate of any particular home's value.

AREAAVG. SOLD PRICESALES
Toronto$1,075,6272,184
Vaughan$1,201,704263
Richmond Hill$1,193,772185
Newmarket$959,09498
 
 Interested in another area? Reply with your city or neighbourhood (Aurora, Markham, King City, or anywhere across the GTA) and we can prepare a personalized market snapshot for you.

JUST SOLD · OUR LISTING

86 Golden Trail, Vaughan


LISTED AT

$1,169,888

SOLD FOR

$1,310,000

DAYS ON MARKET

16

Sold over asking in just 16 days. Listed at $1,169,888 and sold for $1,310,000, this three-storey freehold townhouse on a ravine lot in Vaughan's Patterson community found its new owners quickly.

Congratulations to the sellers, and welcome home to the new owners!

Thinking about selling in Vaughan or York Region? Let's talk about what your home could achieve in today's market.

Sold price as reported on MLS®. Every home and market is different; past results do not guarantee future results.




03 / RATES & AFFORDABILITY

Interest Rate Watch

2.50%

Bank of Canada policy rate
Raised 0.25% on October 28, 2026

NEXT SCHEDULED DECISION

December 9

2026 · next scheduled announcement

The policy rate influences borrowing conditions but is not itself a mortgage rate. Fixed mortgage rates follow bond yields and lenders' funding costs, and variable rates follow lenders' prime rates, so they can move independently of the Bank of Canada. Source: Bank of Canada, October 28, 2026.

 

What could move the market next?

Inflation, employment, borrowing costs and housing supply all matter. There is no guaranteed direction for home prices. This outlook is general commentary and scenario-based, not a prediction of a certain outcome.

04 / PRACTICAL PERSPECTIVE

What it means for you


 

For buyers

With the policy rate now higher, re-check your pre-approval and monthly budget before you shop. Compare recent local sales, not only asking prices. More choice may help in some segments, but well-positioned homes still attract competition.

 

For sellers

Price to your current micro-market. Preparation, presentation, marketing and timing all matter. A realistic strategy is more useful than relying on last year's peak comparable.

“Clarity today. Confidence for your next move.”

RE/MAX VIP TEAM · OUR EDITORIAL APPROACH

05 / WHAT TO WATCH

Dates on our radar

 December 9, 2026 · Next Bank of Canada interest rate announcement.
 Next TRREB Market Watch · Release date to be announced by TRREB.

Sources and methodology: TRREB, Market Watch October 2026 (released November 4, 2026), pages 1 and 3 (GTA figures and four municipalities, all home types; Toronto = City of Toronto); Bank of Canada, October 28, 2026 policy announcement, which also confirms the December 9, 2026 announcement date. Statistics are preliminary and subject to revision. Figures are reported averages, not predictions or property valuations. General information only, not financial or legal advice. Sources: TRREB · Bank of Canada.

Let's make your next move clearer.

Thinking about buying or selling? Interested in a different city or a specific property type? Reply to this email and we'll prepare a focused local market review.

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Market updates • Local news • Real estate tips

Andrei Baiborodin, Sales Representative
RE/MAX VIP TEAM logo
Mila Tcherkhovskaia, Broker

Andrei Baiborodin

Sales Representative

RE/MAX Premier Inc., Brokerage

416-562-3021

Mila Tcherkhovskaia

Broker

Your neighbourhood. Our expertise. Your next move.
RE/MAX VIP TEAM · RE/MAX Premier Inc., Brokerage · 416-562-3021
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Nov 09, 2026